Bayesian analysis

https://theoreticalecology.wordpress.com/2010/09/17/metropolis-hastings-mcmc-in-r/
http://mbjoseph.github.io/blog/2013/09/08/metropolis/
http://ba.stat.cmu.edu/journal/2008/vol03/issue03/issue03.pdf

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/book/slides/class9a.pdf